Nats lose starter, win game

Baseball Betting Lines

09/06/2007 - Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Austin Kearns homered and scored three times to help compensate for the loss of Washington's pitcher, as the Nationals completed a three-game sweep of the Florida Marlins with a 6-4 win at RFK Stadium.

Tim Redding left in the third with an elbow injury but the offense and bullpen picked it up for the Nationals, who have won five in a row.

With a runner on second and one down, Miguel Cabrera hit a sharp grounder up the middle that caromed off Redding's right elbow. Redding then chased down the ball that had ricocheted behind him, and landed hard on the same arm while trying to field it. He was diagnosed with a right lateral elbow contusion, which is expected to keep him out for seven-to-10 days.

Jonathan Albaladejo made his major-league debut in relief of Redding and tossed 1 2/3 hitless frames, while Luis Ayala (1-2) picked up the win after working a flawless seventh. Chad Cordero took care of the ninth for his 31st save of the campaign.

Brian Schneider had two RBI for Washington.

Miguel Olivo hit a two-run homer for Florida, which has dropped nine of 12. Starter Sergio Mitre was roughed up for three runs on four hits over just two-thirds of an inning, and Matt Lindstrom (2-4) took the loss.

Washington plated a pair in the seventh to move in front, 6-4. All of the offense came with two outs, starting with a Kearns single and a walk to Ryan Church. Wily Mo Pena put his team in front for good with a base hit to center, and Schneider added an RBI base hit of his own off the newly-inserted Taylor Tankersley for a two-run cushion.

Jon Rauch struck out the side in the eighth before Cordero escaped some two- out trouble in the ninth.

The Nationals put up a three-spot in the first inning to claim early command. A Kearns single with one out loaded the bases, and Church came through with a base hit to center that scored Felipe Lopez. After Pena struck out, Mitre walked Schneider and Robert Fick in succession to push two more runs across.

Florida countered with a pair of runs in the third to slice its deficit to one. Jeremy Hermida doubled in Dan Uggla before Redding was forced to leave the game. Albaladejo entered with runners on first and third and got Josh Willingham to hit into a fielder's choice, but it scored Hermida to make it 3-2.

Kearns put the Nats back up by two with a solo homer to left in the fifth.

Olivo tied the contest at 4-4 with a two-run homer in the sixth. Willingham led the frame off with a double, and was driven in two batters later when Olivo lifted one over the wall in left.

Game Notes

Mitre is winless in his last seven trips to the hill...The Nationals lead the 2007 season series with Florida by a 9-6 count...The two teams combined to strand 15 runners.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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